Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.401117 0.443986 0.490053 0.543329 0.603352 0.669013 0.746447
2025-05-04 0.333101 0.392560 0.461206 0.546709 0.650891 0.774389 0.932868
2025-05-11 0.293541 0.360552 0.441698 0.547974 0.684626 0.855965 1.089472
2025-05-18 0.267270 0.339432 0.430266 0.554237 0.720938 0.940069 1.254462
2025-05-25 0.239773 0.312933 0.407999 0.542260 0.729692 0.986130 1.370618
2025-06-01 0.224446 0.300383 0.402003 0.550168 0.764437 1.068947 1.545249
2025-06-08 0.207634 0.284001 0.388846 0.546049 0.780588 1.125396 1.685697
2025-06-15 0.195775 0.273305 0.382340 0.550218 0.808248 1.200169 1.861071
2025-06-22 0.181896 0.258504 0.368543 0.541978 0.815695 1.243766 1.990211
2025-06-29 0.170477 0.246369 0.357568 0.536756 0.826769 1.293213 2.133346
2025-07-06 0.156022 0.228670 0.336909 0.514625 0.808485 1.292580 2.189194
2025-07-13 0.149855 0.223102 0.334296 0.520749 0.836616 1.371350 2.393978
2025-07-20 0.143850 0.217513 0.331434 0.526518 0.865143 1.454423 2.618735
2025-07-27 0.137885 0.211598 0.327636 0.530397 0.890710 1.534750 2.848589
2025-08-03 0.131896 0.205222 0.322581 0.531582 0.911326 1.607625 3.072312
2025-08-10 0.127341 0.200865 0.320500 0.537633 0.941052 1.700063 3.347321
2025-08-17 0.119909 0.191284 0.309011 0.526066 0.936894 1.726687 3.486475
2025-08-24 0.116432 0.188131 0.308240 0.533704 0.969658 1.828912 3.803103
2025-08-31 0.111250 0.181757 0.301468 0.529726 0.979395 1.885316 4.024014
2025-09-07 0.107728 0.178041 0.299104 0.533752 1.005168 1.977161 4.339150
2025-09-14 0.102596 0.171220 0.290789 0.525793 1.005920 2.015793 4.532037
2025-09-21 0.098242 0.165551 0.284226 0.520750 1.012197 2.066868 4.762387
2025-09-28 0.091836 0.155892 0.269845 0.499372 0.982434 2.035145 4.778681